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What is driving South Africa’s consumer food prices higher?

By Wandile Sihlobo, Chief Economist of the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa Rising food prices continue to dominate the headlines, domestically and globally. It is not unusual for one to see complaints about rising sunflower oil prices or broader headline food price inflation on the domestic front. This has, in turn, raised questions of how this could be in a year of an abundant agricultural harvest? The answer goes back to the fact that South Africa is interlinked to the global food system, which at the present moment is facing an uptick in prices. Consider sunflower oils; South Africa is a net importer of sunflower oils, importing on average 197 342 tonnes per annum inthe past five years. Additionally, South Africa imports, on average, 477 185 tonnes of palm oila year. The global prices of these products have been on an upward trajectory for months, with palm oil reaching the highest level since 2011 in May this year. These increases are caused by the combination of lower supplies in Southeast Asian countries, specifically for palm oil, and rising demand for sunflower oils and soybeans, particularly in China and the global biodiesel sector. South Africa gets to experience these shocks, hence even if one observes the recent consumer food price inflation data, the oils and fats were amongst the categories showing the fastest increases within the food basket in the May 2021 CPI release. Also, worth noting is that, unlike other domestic summer crops, which are set to increase in the 2020/21 season, South Africa's sunflower seed production is down by 9% y/y, which once again necessitates the need for imports. In May 2021, South Africa's consumer food price inflation accelerated at the fastest pace since July 2017, measured at 6,8% y/y, from 6,7% y/y in April 2021. The underpinning drivers of this increase were the aforementioned oils and fats, meat, vegetables, and to an extent, staple grain-related products. The grains products prices are at
Categories: Business, Information Technology
Topics: s consumer food prices higher?, what is driving south africa

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